Models and Algorithms for Risk Adjusted Optimization with Robust Utilities
Models and Algorithms for Risk Adjusted Optimization with Robust Utilities
批准号:
1131386
负责人:
Sanjay Mehrotra
金额:
$20.0万
依托单位:
依托单位国家:
美国
项目类别:
Standard Grant
财政年份:
2011
资助国家:
美国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
2011-09-01 至 2015-08-31
中文摘要
该奖项的研究目标是研究放松的单变量和多变量随机优势的概念,从规范的效用函数。风险调整决策的一个主要挑战是评估与不确定结果相关的决策者的风险/效用函数。随机优势概念允许定义一个随机实体(变量、向量、矩阵、过程等)的偏好。因此可以用来比较决策方案之间的不同风险。随机优势的概念与效用理论有关,效用理论适用于一类效用函数,其中假设决策者的效用函数的先验知识有限,这不幸地导致非常保守的模型。开发模型,并相应的算法,可以系统地规避传统的效用理论的挑战,特别是当决策是基于相互冲突的目标和多个随机结果,因此迫切需要的,如果成功的话,这项研究的结果将导致一类新的风险调整决策模型,将风险在一个更现实的方式比目前现有的技术的发展。 将开发计算效率高的算法来解决这些模型。
英文摘要
The research objective of this award is to study concepts of relaxed univariate and multivariate stochastic dominance motivated from the specification of utility functions. A major challenge in risk-adjusted decision making is the assessment of a decision maker's risk/utility function associated with uncertain outcomes. The stochastic dominance concept enables the defining of preferences of one random entity (variable, vector, matrix, process, etc.) over another and therefore can be used to compare the different risks between decision alternatives. The concept of stochastic dominance is related to utility theory, which works with a class of utility functions where limited prior knowledge on a decision maker's utility function is assumed, which unfortunately results in very conservative models. Developing models, and the corresponding algorithms, that can systematically circumvent the challenges of traditional utility theory, especially when the decision is based on conflicting objectives and multiple random outcomes, is thus critically needed.If successful, the results of this research will lead to the development of a new class of risk-adjusted decision models that incorporate risk in a more realistic way than currently existing techniques. Computationally efficient algorithms will be developed to solve these models.
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