A Game-Theoretical Analysis of International Intervention in Civil Wars after the End of the Cold War

本研究的主要目的是确定国内和国际秩序之间相互重新配置的政治逻辑。我们认为，一个特定社会（无论是人的社会还是国家的社会）的政治秩序取决于主体间对社会的合法成员资格及其成员之间的合法行动的理解。因此，当合法成员或合法行动发生变化时，政治秩序也会发生变化。一方面，正如第一次世界大战、第二次世界大战和冷战之后的历史所观察到的那样，帝国的崩溃是国家社会合法成员发生变化的产物。这一过程不可避免地改变了自治政体的领土边界（即，主权国家）。在一个新独立的国家中，这种领土变化往往会对未来统治者和未来被统治者之间的地方权力分配产生不稳定的影响;另一方面，地方政治秩序的稳定需要取消这种统治者和被统治者之间的地方权力分配变化。因此，国际社会经常为他们对个别国家的干预辩护，声称所涉问题确实是国际性的，其目的就是在政治上抵消这种变化。政治学家（石田敦）和一位经济学家（石黑熏）他们跨越学科之间的知识边界进行合作，并试图将内战起源的理论与国际干预的原因和后果。石田的《国内秩序与国际秩序相互重构的政治逻辑：政治共存的宪政秩序》和石黑浩的《冲突后社会政治改革的国际干预》是我们研究的两个主要成果。

The primary purpose of this research is to identify the political logic of reciprocal reconfiguration between domestic and international orders. We conceptualize that political order of a given society (whether it is a society of men or a society of states) hinges on the intersubjective understanding of legitimate membership of the society and the rightful action among its members. Therefore, political order changes when either the legitimate membership or the rightful action changes.On the one hand, the collapse of empires, as has been historically observed in the wake of the First World War, the second World War, and the Cold War, has been a product of the changing legitimate membership of the society of states. This process inevitably changed territorial boundaries of autonomous polities (i.e., sovereign states). And this territorial change often had some destabilizing impact on the local distribution of power between the would-be ruler and the would-be ruled within a newly independent state.On the other hand, the stability of a local political order would require the cancellation of this change in the local distribution of power between the ruler and the ruled. For this reason, the international community has often justified their intervention in individual states for the very purpose of politically offsetting this change by claiming that the problems at stake are indeed international.In this research, a political scientist (Atsushi Ishida) and an economist (Kaoru Ishiguro) cooperated across the intellectual border between their disciplines and have attempted to synthesize theories of the origins of civil wars with those of the causes and consequences of international intervention.Ishida's "The Political Logic of Reciprocal Reconfiguration between Domestic and International Orders : Constitutional Orders for Political Coexistence" and Ishiguro's "International Intervention to Political Reforms in Post-Conflict Societies" are two major results of our research.