Experimental Study on the Effective Utilization of Educational Statistics Data Base

我们今年举行了两次研究会议（1990年5月和1991年1月）。主要研究结果如下：1.本文利用《学校基本统计报告》和《学校教师统计报告》，对我国中小学教师的未来需求进行了预测，预测期至2000年。重点放在分析班级规模从45人减少到40人对每个都道府县教师需求的影响上，这在以前的研究中是不可能的。根据目前的分析，我们在以前的预测中稍微高估了未来的教师需求。本文利用《学校基本统计报告》，对1960 - 1989年男女大学毕业生就业情况进行了分析。对男大学毕业生的分析表明，除教育领域外，所有领域的大学毕业生的就业率自1975年以来都有所提高，但各领域的趋势各不相同。另一方面，对女毕业生的分析表明，女大学毕业生的就业情况总体上有了较大改善，各领域之间的差异不断缩小。

We hold two research meetings this year (May, 1990 and January, 1991) . Two main findings are as follows ;1. We make a projection of the future demand of elementary and secondary school teachers using School Basic Statistics Report and School Teacher Statistics Report through the year of 2000. The emphasis is placed on the analysis of the impact of the reduction of the class size from 45 to 40 on the demand of teachers for each prefecture, which was not possible in the previous study. According to current analysis, we slightly overestimated the future teacher demands in the previous projection.2. We analyze the trend of employment of college graduates from 1960 to 1989 using School Basic Statistics Report for both male and female. The analysis for male college graduates shows the employment rate of college graduates from all fields but education has improved since 1975 but the trend has differed from field to field. On the other hand, the analysis for female graduates reveals that the employment situation for female college graduates as a whole has fairly improved and the difference among fields has consistently diminished.