Preliminary study on synergetic countermeasures on global environmental problems in the Asia-Pacific region.

在这一年里，我开发了两个模型。第一个模型计算空气中固体颗粒物（SPM）的浓度，第二个模型是SPM暴露对健康的影响模型。在SPM浓度模型的第一步，输入未来的能量消耗，并根据实际现场观测到的能量信息和源受关系计算SPM浓度。计算的浓度在空间上插值到经纬度的5分钟分辨率。在健康影响模型中，使用SPM浓度模型的输出和流行流行的剂量反应函数来计算婴儿死亡率。中等能量消耗情景下，暴露于SPM的婴儿死亡人数增加140万，低情景下增加110万，高情景下增加160万。二氧化碳、SPM和二氧化硫主要来自人类的能源消耗。从这些污染物的耦合特性出发，我们需要强有力的协同减排对策，这一点在实际环境管理中是非常有效的。

In this year, I developed two models. The first model calculates SPM (solid particulate matter) concentration in the air, and the second is a health impact model by SPM exposure. In the first step of the SPM concentration model, future energy consumption is inputted and SPM concentration is calculated based on that energy information and source-receptor relationship observed in actual field. The calculated concentration is spatially interpolated to 5 minutes resolution in longitude and latitude. In the health impact model, infant mortality is calculated with the output of SPM concentration model and epidemically developed dose response function.Under medium energy consumption scenario, the number of infants killed of SPM exposure increases 1.4million, and 1.1million under low scenario, and 1.6 million under high scenario.Carbon dioxide, SPM and sulfur dioxde mainly come from human energy consumption. We need strong synergetic reduction countermeassures from the viewpoint of the coupling characteristics of these pollutants, and this point is very effective in the actual environment management.