Parenting, Adolescent Substance Use, and Delinquency

描述(由申请人提供)：1997年全国青年纵向调查(下称NLSY97)的次级数据分析被提出，以解决与父母教养特征(包括父母风格、监测和支持)与药物使用(烟草、酒精、大麻)和犯罪轨迹之间的跨时间关系的几个研究问题，该样本是在全国范围内从青春期过渡到中期的早期青少年样本。将使用队列序贯设计来捕捉1997年11-14岁青少年在跨越1997-2000年的四次年度测量浪潮中药物使用和犯罪的变化模式。这种队列顺序或加速纵向设计将有助于对11-17岁儿童的药物使用和犯罪轨迹进行建模。这项提案中的次级样本将包括1997年4,095名年龄在11-14岁的儿童，其中包括黑人(24%，n=986)和西班牙裔(21%，n=863)青年的过度抽样。NLSY97包含了更多的年龄较大的青少年(1997年为15岁及以上)，但根据设计，许多与本提案目标有实质性关系的育儿措施并没有随着时间的推移而得到始终如一的执行，因此没有被选为列入本申请的对象。 该建议的目标是：(1)评估父母养育维度对青少年早期犯罪和药物使用的影响，以确定这些影响在种族和性别群体中是否相似；(2)使用交叉滞后潜变量分析和双重潜在增长模型来检验青少年犯罪和药物使用之间的双向关系；以及(3)对青少年犯罪和药物使用变量进行潜在生长混合建模，以确定不同的轨迹，并确定其共同和独特的预测因素。上文列举的具体统计模型中将包括的其他重要预测因素将包括广泛的社会经济地位变量、同伴偏差和过早接触暴力事件。

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): Secondary data analyses of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth-1997 (hereafter referred to as NLSY97) are proposed to address several research questions related to the cross-temporal relationships between features of parenting (including parental style, monitoring, and support), and trajectories of substance use (tobacco, alcohol, marijuana) and delinquency with a national sample of early adolescents in transition to middle adolescence. A cohort-sequential design will be used to capture patterns of change in substance use and delinquency across four annual waves of measurement spanning 1997-2000 for youth 11-14 years of age in 1997. This cohort-sequential, or accelerated longitudinal, design will facilitate the modeling of trajectors of substance use and delinquency from ages 11-17. The subsample focused on in this proposal will include 4,095 children who were ages 11-14 in 1997 and includes an oversampling of black (24%, n=986) and Hispanic (21%, n=863) youth. The NLSY97 contains a larger number of older adolescents (ages 15 and above in 1997), but by design many of the parenting measures of substantive interest to the goals of this proposal were not consistently administered across time and hence were not selected for inclusion in this application. The goals of the proposal are: (1) to evaluate the influence of parenting dimensions on the growth of delinquency and substance use in early adolescence to determine if these influences are similar across ethnic and gender groups; (2) to examine bidirectional relationships between delinquency and substance use across time using both cross-lagged latent variable analyses and dual latent growth modeling; and (3) to conduct latent growth mixture modeling with delinquency and substance use variables to identify heterogeneous trajectories and to identify their common and unique predictors. Other significant predictors to be included in the specified statistical models enumerated above will include a broad range of SES variables, peer deviance, and early exposure to witnessing violence.