Dynamical downscaling of western and eastern Canada hydroclimate

由两个cgcm（即加拿大CGCM3和德国ECHAM5）的多个成员驱动的区域气候模式（RCM）将在1950-2100年两个非常高分辨率（15公里乘15公里）的区域（加拿大西部和东部各一个）上集成，以生成一个多模式多成员的非常高分辨率区域气候预估集合。我们将首先把注意力集中在量化与预测的21世纪水资源可用性、可变性和极值变化相关的不确定性，以用于能源规划。通过与卑诗水电（BCH）、Hydro- qu<s:1>、里约热内卢Tinto Alcan （RTA）、太平洋气候影响联盟（PCIC）和Ouranos的合作，我们将为加拿大创建一个前所未有的高分辨率21世纪气候变化预测数据库。

A regional climate model (RCM) driven by multiple members of two CGCMs (namely the Canadian CGCM3 and the German ECHAM5) will be integrated on two very high-resolution (15 km by 15 km) domains (one for each of western and eastern Canada) from 1950-2100 to generate a multi-model multi-member ensemble of very high-resolution regional climate projections. We will initially focus our attention on quantifying uncertainty associated with projected 21st century changes in water availability, variability and extremes for use in energy planning. Through partnership with BC Hydro (BCH), Hydro-Québec, Rio Tinto Alcan (RTA), the Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (PCIC) and Ouranos, we will create an unprecedented database of high-resolution projections of 21st century climate change for Canada.