A Computer Based Curriculum for Probability and Statistics

这个项目将创建和研究一个以计算机为基础的概率和统计课程，主要针对高中。材料的开发和评估将基于过去和正在进行的学生概率和统计概念的研究。课程将侧重于概念的发展，其中许多概念已被证明难以在标准课程中教授。该计划将包括一个软件包和一系列实验室活动，这些活动分为三个模块：“机会”、“机会+规则”和“机会+结构”。在大多数这些实验中，学生将使用计算机建立抽样模型，绘制大的随机样本，并分析结果数据。这些计算机模拟将提供经验数据，学生将根据这些数据来评估他们的直觉预测和理论。学生最终将建立模型来研究由概率和确定性成分组成的复杂现象。课程的一小部分将根据个别学生的临床访谈进行评估和修订。更大的组成部分将在一些涉及不同学生群体的地点进行测试。

This project will create and research a computer-based curriculum for probability and statistics targeted primarily for the high school. The development and evaluation of the materials will be based on past and ongoing research of student conceptions of probability and statistics. The curriculum will focus on the development of concepts, many of which have proven difficult to teach in standard courses. The program will consist of a software package together with a set of laboratory activities organized into three modules, "Chance", "Chance Plus Rules", and "Chance Plus Structure". In the majority of these labs, students will use the computer to build sampling models, draw large random samples, and analyze the resultant data. These computer simulations will provide the empirical data against which students will evaluate their intuitive predictions and theories. Students will eventually build models to study complex phenomena consisting of both probabilistic and deterministic components. Small components of the curriculum will be evaluated and revised based on clinical interviews with individual students. Larger components will be tested in a number of sites involving a diversity of student populations.