AOC: Disaster, Resilience and the Built Environment on the Gulf Coast

摘要：墨西哥湾沿岸的灾害、复原力和建筑环境本项目研究受飓风慢性风和水破坏的沿海社区建筑环境的复原力。它部分是关于卡特里娜飓风对新奥尔良和密西西比海岸的影响，以及全国和地区居民流离失所和他们被同化到其他地方的模式的案例研究。它询问谁的社区受到的影响最大，哪些社区将被重建，它们将与以前有何不同，以及哪些人口部分将永久流离失所。卡特里娜飓风案例研究将嵌入一个关于飓风破坏、自然环境和建筑环境之间关系的更大项目中。它将评估过去50年来墨西哥湾沿岸的累积风暴风险，并询问这些事件对自然环境(森林覆盖)和建成环境(住宅用地)的影响。关于风暴的历史数据和关于森林复盖率的遥感信息将与1950-2000年每十年一次的细粒度普查数据一起进行分析。科学地了解卡特里娜飓风和其他风暴的影响对于公共政策的制定将是很有价值的，无论是短期的(未来几年对该区域的投资)还是长期的(沿海地区的安全规划)。该项目将提供墨西哥湾沿岸对风暴风险的脆弱性地图，结果将广泛传播给公众和环境组织。

Abstract: Disaster, Resilience and the Built Environment on the Gulf Coast This project studies the resilience of the built environment in coastal communities that are subject to chronic wind and water damage from hurricanes. It is partly a case study of the impacts of the Katrina hurricane on New Orleans and the Mississippi Coast and the national and regional pattern of displacement of residents and their assimilation into other places. It asks whose communities were most affected, which will be rebuilt and how they will be different from before, and which segments of the population will be permanently displaced. This Katrina case study will be embedded within a larger project on the relationship between hurricane damage, natural environment, and the built environment. It will assess the cumulative storm risk on the Gulf Coast during the last fifty years, and ask how the natural environment (forest cover) and the built environment (residential land use) have been affected by these events. Historical data on storms and remote sensing information on forest cover will be analyzed together with fine-grained census data at ten-year intervals for 1950-2000. A scientific understanding of the effects of Katrina and other storms will be valuable for public policymaking, both in the short term (investments in the region over the next several years) and in the long term (planning for the security of coastal zones). The project will provide a map of vulnerability to storm risks for the Gulf Coast, and results will be widely disseminated to the public and environmental organizations.