Hazards SEES Type 2: Modeling to Promote Regional Resilience to Repeated Heat Waves and Hurricanes

社区有兴趣提高对极端天气的适应能力，但往往缺乏充分了解问题和做出良好决策的工具和资源。鉴于极端事件影响的复杂性和相互关联性，这种缺乏理解是可以理解的。社区需要为基础设施管理、土地利用规划、公共卫生和应急管理设计解决方案，了解彼此之间的关系。在反复发生事件的地区，问题会加剧。在这个项目中，一个跨学科的研究小组将开发一个综合模型，即综合灾害、影响和复原力模型，以更好地了解反复发生的飓风和热浪对区域脆弱性和复原力的影响，并利用该模型开发提高对这些反复发生的灾害的复原力的方法。该团队整合了个人和组织行为、经济建模、气候科学、基础设施工程、灾害建模、公共卫生和空间景观分析方面的专业知识。该项目的工作将以系统建模为基础，并通过系统建模进行整合。该项目的目标是显著提高人们对飓风和热浪对地区脆弱性和恢复力的影响的理解，以及可用于帮助地区更好地防止反复发生的灾害的工具和资源。大西洋中部地区将是该项目的案例研究，将工作放在美国的一个关键地区，该地区的人口不断增加，面临着极端天气的威胁。该团队还将拥有强大的国际合作者，帮助确保这项工作在世界其他地区具有广泛的适用性。作为该项目的一部分，一批本科生、硕士和博士后以及博士后学者将接受跨学科危险研究和建模方面的培训。这批学生和研究人员将成为国家的关键资源，有助于提高地区对反复发生的飓风和热浪的适应能力。

Communities are interested in becoming more resilient to weather extremes but often lack the tools and resources to fully understand the problems and make good decisions. This lack of understanding is understandable given the complex and interrelated nature of the impacts from extreme events. Communities need to design solutions for infrastructure management, land use planning, public health, and emergency management, understanding how each is related to the other. In areas that are subject to repeated events, the problem is exacerbated. In this project, an interdisciplinary team of researchers will develop an integrated model, the Integrated Hazard, Impact, and Resilience Model to better understand the impacts of repeated hurricanes and heat waves on regional vulnerability and resilience and use the model to develop approaches for improving resilience to these repeated hazards. The team integrates expertise in individual and organizational behavior, economic modeling, climate science, infrastructure engineering, hazard modeling, public health, and spatial landscape analysis. The work on this project will be grounded in and integrated through systems modeling. The goal of the project is to significantly advance the understanding of the impacts from hurricanes and heat waves on the vulnerability and resilience of regions over time and the tools and resources available to help regions better prevent repeated hazards from becoming repeated disasters.The mid-Atlantic region will be the case study for this project, grounding the work in a critical region of the U.S., one that has a growing population facing increasing threats from weather extremes. The team will also have strong international collaborators, helping to make sure the work has broad applicability to other areas of the world. As part of this project, a set of undergraduates, masters, and doctoral students as well as postdoctoral scholars will be trained in trans-disciplinary hazards research and modeling. This cadre of students and researchers will form a critical resource for the nation, helping to improve regional resilience to repeated hurricanes and heat waves.