Hazards SEES Type 2: Modeling to Promote Regional Resilience to Repeated Heat Waves and Hurricanes

灾害 SEES 类型 2：建立模型以提高区域对反复出现的热浪和飓风的抵御能力

• 批准号: 1631409
• 负责人: Seth Guikema
• 金额: $ 206.63万
• 依托单位: Regents of the University of Michigan - Ann Arbor
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2015
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2015-08-01 至 2020-09-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1631409&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Hazards; SEES; Type; Modeling; Promote

Communities are interested in becoming more resilient to weather extremes but often lack the tools and resources to fully understand the problems and make good decisions. This lack of understanding is understandable given the complex and interrelated nature of the impacts from extreme events. Communities need to design solutions for infrastructure management, land use planning, public health, and emergency management, understanding how each is related to the other. In areas that are subject to repeated events, the problem is exacerbated. In this project, an interdisciplinary team of researchers will develop an integrated model, the Integrated Hazard, Impact, and Resilience Model to better understand the impacts of repeated hurricanes and heat waves on regional vulnerability and resilience and use the model to develop approaches for improving resilience to these repeated hazards. The team integrates expertise in individual and organizational behavior, economic modeling, climate science, infrastructure engineering, hazard modeling, public health, and spatial landscape analysis. The work on this project will be grounded in and integrated through systems modeling. The goal of the project is to significantly advance the understanding of the impacts from hurricanes and heat waves on the vulnerability and resilience of regions over time and the tools and resources available to help regions better prevent repeated hazards from becoming repeated disasters.The mid-Atlantic region will be the case study for this project, grounding the work in a critical region of the U.S., one that has a growing population facing increasing threats from weather extremes. The team will also have strong international collaborators, helping to make sure the work has broad applicability to other areas of the world. As part of this project, a set of undergraduates, masters, and doctoral students as well as postdoctoral scholars will be trained in trans-disciplinary hazards research and modeling. This cadre of students and researchers will form a critical resource for the nation, helping to improve regional resilience to repeated hurricanes and heat waves.

社区有兴趣提高对极端天气的适应能力，但往往缺乏充分了解问题和做出正确决策的工具和资源。考虑到极端事件影响的复杂性和相互关联性，这种缺乏了解是可以理解的。社区需要为基础设施管理、土地使用规划、公共卫生和应急管理设计解决方案，了解每一个问题如何相互关联。在反复发生事件的地区，问题更加严重。在该项目中，一个跨学科的研究人员团队将开发一个综合模型，即综合灾害，影响和复原力模型，以更好地了解反复发生的飓风和热浪对区域脆弱性和复原力的影响，并使用该模型来开发提高对这些反复发生的灾害的复原力的方法。该团队整合了个人和组织行为，经济建模，气候科学，基础设施工程，灾害建模，公共卫生和空间景观分析方面的专业知识。该项目的工作将通过系统建模进行整合。该项目的目标是显著提高对飓风和热浪的影响的理解随着时间的推移对脆弱性和恢复能力的地区和可用的工具和资源，以帮助地区更好地防止重复的灾害成为重复的灾害。大西洋中部地区将是该项目的案例研究，在美国的一个关键地区的基础工作，一个人口不断增长，面临极端天气威胁的国家。该团队还将拥有强大的国际合作者，帮助确保这项工作在世界其他地区具有广泛的适用性。作为该项目的一部分，一组本科生，硕士和博士生以及博士后学者将接受跨学科危害研究和建模的培训。这批学生和研究人员将成为国家的重要资源，有助于提高区域对反复发生的飓风和热浪的抵御能力。