Evaluation of the competitive potential of production technologies

为了能够在全球竞争中保持成功，制造企业必须以有效和高效的方式利用其现有的生产技术。由于它们的进化发展，现在和未来存在的技术的范围正在不断地演变。此外，战略技术决策是制造公司市场地位的趋势设定。因此，技术决策需要在结构化和确凿的基础上做出。过去的研究活动侧重于评估技术准备情况，这代表了一项技术的现状，或者只考虑了技术潜力的特定方面。要建立和利用战略竞争优势，必须从整体上考虑未来的技术潜力。因此，将在考虑不确定因素的情况下，使用定量数据方法制定一种综合潜力评估方法。首先，将提出一份关于技术潜力的相关和聚集影响因素的目录。为了对这些因素进行适当的建模，将确定合适的建模方法，对其进行分类，并引入选择程序。根据聚集的影响因素和确定的建模方法，将得出组件模型，然后将其聚合为综合技术潜力模型。

In order to be able to remain successful in global competition, manufacturing companies have to utilize their available production technology in an effective and efficient way. Due to their evolutionary development, the range of existent technologies in present and future is evolving continuously. Furthermore, strategic technology decisions are trend-setting for the market position of manufacturing companies. Consequently, technology decisions need to be made on a structured and substantiated basis. Past research activities focused on the evaluation of technology readiness, which represents the status-quo of a technology, or consider only particular aspects of the technology potential. To establish and harness strategic competitive advantages the holistic consideration of future technology potentials is necessary. Therefore, an approach for an integrational potential evaluation will be developed using a quantitative data approach under consideration of uncertainties. Firstly a catalogue of relevant and clustered influencing factors on the technology potential will be presented. In order to model the factors appropriately, suitable modelling methods will be identified, classified and a selection procedure will be introduced. Based on the clustered influencing factors and the identified modelling methods, component models which are then aggregated to a comprehensive technology potential model will be derived.