Forcast and Evaluation of Introduction effects of Transportation Demand Management

交通需求管理引入效果预测与评估

• 批准号: 08455236
• 负责人: IIDA Yasunori
• 金额: $ 2.37万
• 依托单位: KYOTO UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• 财政年份: 1996
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1996 至 1997
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-08455236/
• 关键词: Travel Behavior Analysis; Mode choice; Questionnaire Survey; Transportation Demand Management; Commuting Traffic; Person-Trip Survey

This study attempts to forcast and evaluate the introduction effects of Transportation Demand Management (TDM). In this year, using Stated Preference (SP) data and Revealed Preference (RP) data got from both questionnaire survey and Person-Trip (PT) survey, the mode choice model was estimated. By using the model estimated, forcasting the effect of introducing some TDM schemes was attempted. In detall, following analyzes were made.(1)Based on the Person-Trip data, drivers'commuting behavior were analyzed in detail. Particullary, the relationship between mode choice on commuting and travel behavior after beginning the work was analyzed. By the knowledge got from cross-aggregation analyzes, the mode choice model on commuting was estimated.(2)Based on the questionnaire survey conducted in Osaka Metropolitan Area, drivers response on mode choice to some TDM schemes was analyzed. The TDM schemes cnsidered were Park and Ride (P & R), Kiss and Ride (K & R), Road Pricing and High Occupancy Lane (HOV) introduction. Mode conversion models for explaining drivers response to these schemes were estimated respectively.(3)By using the model estimated on (2), the conversion ratio was calculated when the political variables (ex.the fare of road pricing or using P & R car parks) were changed. By the results, change of the traffic demand on road by introducing these schemes was analyzed.(4)From the interview survey to the offices that were introducing some interesting schemes that might lead to the deduction of traffic demand, the advantages, disadvantages, terms for succession as well as the reasons if the scheme was canceled, were analyzed.

本研究试图预测和评估交通需求管理(TDM)的引入效果。在这一年中，使用来自问卷调查和人员出行(PT)调查的陈述偏好(SP)数据和显示偏好(RP)数据，对模式选择模型进行了估计。利用所估计的模型，对引入TDM方案的效果进行了预测。在此基础上，进行了以下分析：(1)基于出行数据，详细分析了驾驶员的通勤行为。重点分析了通勤方式选择与开工后出行行为的关系。在大阪都市圈问卷调查的基础上，分析了驾驶员对部分TDM方案的出行方式选择反应。考虑的交通需求管理计划包括停车换乘(P&R)、接吻换乘(K&R)、道路收费和引入高使用率车道(HOV)。利用文(2)中估计的模型，计算了当政治变量(如道路收费或使用P&R停车场)发生变化时的模式转换比率。根据结果，分析了引入这些方案后道路交通需求的变化。(4)从访谈调查到正在推出一些可能导致交通需求减少的有趣方案的办公室，分析了这些方案的利弊、继任条件以及取消方案的原因。

项目成果

E.Taniguchi: "Analyses on introducing road pricing to reduce automobile commuting" Urban trasport and the Environmental for the 21st Century III. 135-144 (1997)

E.Taniguchi：“引入道路收费以减少汽车通勤的分析”《21 世纪城市交通与环境》III。

E., Taniguchi, F.Kurauchi and K.Matsushima :""Analyzes on Introducing Road Pricing to Reduce Automobile Commuting"" Urban Transport and the Environmental for the 21st Centry III. 135-144 (1997)

E.、Taniguchi、F.Kurauchi 和 K.Matsushima：“引入道路收费以减少汽车通勤的分析””21 世纪的城市交通与环境 III。

E., Taniguchi, F.Kurauchi, K.Matsushima and M.Sugimoto :""An Analysis on the Influence of Introducing Road Pricing Scheme on Commuters by Private Cars"" Proceedings of Infrastructure Planning. Vol.19(2). 869-872 (1996)

E.、Taniguchi、F.Kurauchi、K.Matsushima 和 M.Sugimoto：“引入道路定价方案对私家车通勤者的影响分析”基础设施规划论文集。

谷口 栄一: "ロードプライシング方策の導入による自動車通勤者への影響に関する分析" 土木計画学研究・講演集. No.19(2). 869-872 (1996)

Eiichi Taniguchi：“引入道路收费措施对汽车通勤者的影响分析”土木工程规划研究和讲座第 19(2) 号（1996 年）。

E.Taniguchi: "Analyses on introducing road pricing to reduce automobile commuting" Urban Transport and the Environmental for the 21st Century III. 135-144 (1997)

E.Taniguchi：“引入道路收费以减少汽车通勤的分析”《21 世纪城市交通与环境》III。