An analysis of long-term dynamics of individual travel mode choice behaviours and household car owning behaviours

点击翻译按钮获取中文摘要

To understand and forecast travel behaviours in long-time horizon, travel behaviours are analysed utilising repeated cross-sectional data collected in Nagoya at four points in time covering three decades. The analyses provided insights into better understandings of long-term dynamics of travel mode choice behaviours and car owning behaviours. The author proposed a methodology to improve travel demand forecasts by utilising not only the most recent dataset but also an older dataset. In addition, the author investigated reasons of forecast inaccuracies, applied models in developed countries to developing countries, proposed a methodology to handle income data appropriately, and addressed technical issues for analysing travel behaviour changes.