MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR THE EVOLUTION OF IDEAS

被称为理想动力学的数学理论描述了 说服性信息对人群的影响。对于六个问题， 使用理想动力学方程的计算机投影具有 成功地将舆论与美联社联系起来 由计算机分析的调度。除了在 该理论还预测了习惯的改变。 到目前为止，重点一直是观念和习惯的改变 只有一个问题。拟议的工作将把该模型扩展到 无法提供有说服力的信息的各种情况 直接衡量以及公众对说服力的反应 同时为几个不同的问题发送消息。 尚未应用于实际数据的所有形式的模型将 探索通过计算机模拟来开发程序 数据分析所必需的，并测试 理论。 前面开发的文本分析将经过严格测试，以 考察不同人的能力来构建 词典和规则的分析，以确定最小 精确的意见计算所需的测试量， 探索大多数全国性报纸、通讯社和 杂志有大致相同的新闻结构，等等。 媒体对舆论影响的研究将从 从美国到英国和法国。

The mathematical theory called ideodynamics describes the impact of persuasive messages on a population. For six issues, computer projections using ideodynamic equations have successfully correlated public opinion with Associated Press dispatches analyzed by computer. In addition to changes in opinion, the theory also predicts changes in habits. So far, the emphasis has been on changes in opinions and habits for one issue. The proposed work will extend the model to a variety of conditions where persuasive messages cannot be measured directly and where the public responds to persuasive messages for several different issues simultaneously. All forms of the model not yet applied to actual data will be explored by computer simulation to develop the programs necessary for data analysis and to test the plausibility of the theory. The text analysis developed previously will be rigorously tested to examine the ability of different people to construct the dictionaries and rules for the analysis, to determine the minimum amount of test needed for accurate opinion calculations, to explore whether most national newspapers, wire services, and magazines have approximately the same news structure, etc. Studies of media influence on opinion will be extended from the United States to Britain and France.