Informed Statistical Reasoning in an Uncertain World: Situated Simulations for Undergraduates

9354529德里在一个不确定的世界里，识字和明智的决策需要统计推理的能力。然而，研究表明，尽管统计和概率的概念在科学和数学界稳步发展，但美国主流社会的成年人不能以概率或统计的方式思考重要的社会问题。因此，该项目提出了一个新颖的本科课程，针对学生谁正在考虑在教学生涯。该课程旨在帮助学生采用统计概念作为工具，在模拟现实世界的问题情况下进行社会推理。正在设计可重复使用的教学材料，并将分发给希望开设这门课程的其他大学的教员。 该课程还将与社区互动，注重文化多样性，并有望通过模拟现实社会问题的解决来实现高度的真实性。

9354529 Derry Literacy and informed decision making in an uncertain world require the ability to reason statistically. However, research indicates that although conceptions of statistics and probability have steadily advanced within scientific and mathematical communities, adults in mainstream American society cannot think probabilistically or statistically about important societal issues. This project therefore presents a novel undergraduate course targeting students who are considering a career in teaching. The course is designed to help students employ statistical concepts as tools for social reasoning within simulations of real-world problem situations. Reusable instructional materials are being designed and will be disseminated to assist faculty at other universities who wish to offer the course. The course will also interact with the community, focus on cultural diversity, and is expected to achieve a high degree of authenticity through simulations of realistic social problem solving.