A cohort analysis of the demand for meat and the impact of food scares

澳大利亚是世界上最大的牛肉出口国。一九九九年，本港共有2270万头肉牛，产量200万吨，总值440万元。迄今为止，澳大利亚尚未受到目前困扰许多欧洲和南美国家的日益增多的重大健康恐慌的影响。在澳大利亚，类似的恐慌将是毁灭性的，因此研究恐慌对消费者行为的影响至关重要。这个研究项目的目的是量化这种健康/产品恐慌对肉类需求的影响。

Australia is the largest beef exporter in the world. In 1999, there were 22.7 million beef cattle, producing 2 million tonnes with a gross value of $4.4 million. To date, Australia has been unaffected by the growing number of major health scares currently plaguing many European and South American countries. Equivalent scares in Australia would be devastating and hence research into the impact of scares on the behaviour of consumers is of paramount importance. It is the purpose of this research project to quantify the effects of such health/product scares on the demand for meat.