Economic Development and Stabilization in the Central Asian and Trans-Caucasian Countries

我们可以把三年来的研究成果总结如下。首先，我们可以在莫斯科的俄罗斯国家经济档案馆中收集大量解密的统计数据，编译并发布他们的数据库，分发给研究人员和大学。过去，由于缺乏这些数据，我们在很大程度上无法分析中亚和外高加索国家的经济发展。其次，我们可以将前苏联加盟共和国的经济发展分为几种类型，并指出中亚国家和外高加索国家属于哪种类型。第三，与苏联西部各加盟共和国集中生产消费品不同，中亚国家被苏联政府视为采掘业、重工业基地和农业原料生产基地，无法发展消费品生产。很明显，就工业结构而言，外高加索国家位于中亚国家和苏联西部共和国之间。第四，我们分析了里海油田周边国家的社会政治特征，可以发现俄罗斯在资源民族主义和对外资的关注之间的民族模糊性。这是通过对档案中解密材料的分析得出的。揭示了阿塞拜疆政治中威权主义的发展，以及周边穆斯林国家对中亚国家社会发展的深刻影响。第五，西村教授和清水教授参加了外交部组织的一个委员会，为哈萨克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦制定发展援助计划。我们通过这个项目获得的知识将充分应用于这项任务。

We can summarize achievements of our research work for three years as follows. First, we could collect a great number of declassified statistical data in the Russian State Archive of Economy in Moscow, and compile and publish their database to be distributed among researchers and universities. In the past the lack of those data prevented us from analyzing economic developments of the Central Asian and Trans-Caucasian countries substantially. Secondly, we could classify economic developments of the former Soviet republics into several types and show which type the Central Asian countries and Trans-Caucasian countries belong to. Thirdly, it was demonstrated that differing from the Soviet western republics which concentrated production of consumer goods, Central Asian countries were regarded as a base of extractive and heavy industries and a base of production of agricultural raw materials by the Soviet government and couldn't experience development of consumer good production. It also became clear that the Trans-Caucasian countries are located between the Central Asian countries and the Soviet western republics in terms of industrial structure. Fourthly, we analyzed social and political specific features of the countries surrounding the Caspian oil field and could find Russia's national ambiguity between resource nationalism and concerns for foreign capital. This was reached through analysis of the declassified materials of the archive. And we could reveal development of authoritarianism in the Azerbaijan politics and deep influence of the neighboring Muslim countries over social development in the Central Asian countries. And fifthly, professor Nishimura and professor Shimizu have been taking part in a committee organized by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to work out plans of development assistance for Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. Our knowledge acquired through this project is fully applied for the mission.