Transition to Market Economy And Transformation of The Economic System

1.本研究的目的是分析前苏联和东欧国家的市场化和民主化的发展，并考虑日本应如何应对。这一主题包括四个具体问题：从社会主义到资本主义的转变，苏联的解体和独联体的发展，民族问题和新兴联盟的可能性。我重新考虑了我对这些问题的分析，修改了1989年以来的论文，并编写了一本书，书名是《从社会主义到资本主义--苏联和东欧市场化政策的发展》。第六、七、九章是为这本书而写的.三年来，我集中精力研究了以下问题。(1)俄罗斯和东欧国家的私有化，其成就和问题。(2)市场化政策的存在和“休克疗法”缺乏可持续性。(3)俄罗斯和东欧国家产业政策取向的必要性和可能性。(4)战后日本经济经验对转型期经济体的相关性。我的结论是，激进自由主义的市场化政策在那里无论是政治上还是经济上都无法再持续下去，产业政策方法对于进一步的经济发展是不可或缺的，也是可能的，日本在经济政策领域的经验在政策取向上值得借鉴--政策工具的具体内容。

1. The purpose of this research is to analyze developments of marketization and democratization of the former Soviet Union and the East European countries and to consider due responses of Japan to the developments. This theme includes four concrete problems ; transformation from Socialism to Capitalism, the collapse of the Soviet Union and developments of CIS,ethnic problems, and possibility of emerging dictatorship.2. I reconsidered my analysis of those problems to revise papers which had been written since 1989, and compiled a book, whose title is From Socialism to Capitalism-Developments of Marketization Policies in The Soviet Union And Eastern Europe. The chapter 6,7 and 9 were written up for this book.3. For three years I have concentrated on research of the following problems.(1) privatization in Russia and the East European countries, its achievements and problems.(2) marketization policies there and and lack of sustainability of "shock therapy".(3) necessity and possibility of industrial policy approach in Russia and the East European countries.(4) relevance of Japanese economic experiences since the post-war period to the economies in transition.4. My conclusion is that the marketization policy of radical liberalism cannot be sustained any longer both politically and economically there, and that the industrial policy approach is indispensable and possible for further economic developments, though it is not easy for the countries to introduce it. They can learn some lessons from the Japanese experiences in the field of economic policy in terms of approach of policy-making or concrete elements of policy instruments.