Development of the Pineapple Industry in Ghana

近年来，高价值园艺出口业因其对减贫的潜在贡献而受到关注，特别是在撒哈拉以南非洲。 然而，实证研究表明，该行业的量化效果，并检查风险在该行业中的作用是缺乏的。 在这项研究中，我们实施了一个简单的游戏，以引起农民的风险偏好，并研究他们的风险偏好是否有一些影响他们的决定退出菠萝市场。 我们发现，a）风险厌恶增加了退出市场的概率，B）欧盟需求的外生冲击增加了事件后农民退出市场的可能性，以及c）教育具有抑制风险偏好对退出概率的影响的作用，即，教育使农民更能抵御他们面临的风险。

High-value horticultural export industry has been receiving attention in recent years for its potential contribution to reduce poverty, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa. However, empirical studies that show the quantitative effects of the industry and that examine the role of risks in this industry are lacking. In this study, we implemented a simple game to elicit risk preferences among farmers and examined whether their risk preferences have some effects on their decisions to exit the pineapple market. We find that a) risk-averseness increases the probability of exiting the market, b) the exogenous shock in the EU demand increased the farmers' likelihood of exiting the market in the post-incident period, and c) education has a role to dampen the effect of risk preferences on the probability of exit, i.e., education makes farmers more resilient to the risks that they face.