The 2017 Northern Ireland General Election Study
The 2017 Northern Ireland General Election Study
批准号:
ES/R005060/1
负责人:
Jonathan Tonge
金额:
$6.29万
依托单位:
依托单位国家:
英国
项目类别:
Research Grant
财政年份:
2017
资助国家:
英国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
2017 至 --
中文摘要
支持的理由是,在2017年北爱尔兰大选中,对选民的投票模式、态度和优先事项进行全面研究,对1100名选民进行面对面的问卷调查——这是一项独立的、但“姐妹”的研究,英国选举调查只涵盖英格兰、苏格兰和威尔士。这项研究将在相当大的政治不确定性/危机时期调查北爱尔兰的意见。自2015年大选以来,有了非常重大的发展。公众舆论需要调查,看看北爱尔兰选民想要什么回应:a)权力已移交的行政机构和议会可能崩溃,目前没有陷入僵局;b)英国脱欧的管理——遭到北爱尔兰大多数人的反对——以及对“硬”或“软”边界、共同旅游区和取代《耶稣受难日协议》部分内容的担忧;c)统一派首次失去多数席位;最近的议会选举和d)爱尔兰语和同性婚姻立法要求的争议。这次选举是在北爱尔兰陷入政治危机的情况下举行的。英国回归直接统治的前景确实存在。这项调查将以北爱尔兰各地1100名选民的代表性样本为基础。这项研究将全面研究选民在2017年北爱尔兰大选中是如何投票的,以及选民为什么会这样投票(或拒绝投票)。它将分析北爱尔兰选民在英国脱欧公投以来的首次大选中投票行为和政党选择的基础,以及在政治危机导致权力下放政府中断的情况下。种族-宗教身份实际上仍然是一切吗?这项研究将评估选民是否支持北爱尔兰行政和议会,并衡量相对于威斯敏斯特直接统治,对下放权力分享的支持程度。该研究还将分析人们对退出欧盟的态度。北爱尔兰选民对“硬”边界或“软”边界以及与爱尔兰共和国的共同旅游区有何看法?作为欧盟财政的一大受益者,该地区应如何应对英国脱欧?这项研究将衡量北爱尔兰政治中宗派/忏悔的种族-宗教分歧在多大程度上被来自“竞争对手”社区的候选人的选票所打破,并研究社区和跨社区投票的原因。它将审查对社会/道德问题的看法,如堕胎权(在北爱尔兰实际上仍然被禁止)和同性婚姻(被北爱尔兰最大政党民主统一党反对)。该调查将探讨选民对一系列冲突后问题的看法,如真相与和解委员会、对受害者的支持、司法制度改革和北爱尔兰一体化,例如通过拆除“和平墙”;还有“混合”学校。
英文摘要
The case for support is for a comprehensive study of voting patterns, attitudes and priorities of the electorate at the 2017 Northern Ireland General Election, deploying questionnaire based face-to-face interviews with 1,100 electors - a separate but 'sister' study to the British Election Survey which only covers England, Scotland and Wales. The research will survey opinion in Northern Ireland at a time of considerable political uncertainty/crisis. Since the 2015 general election, there have been very significant developments. Public opinion needs examining to see what Northern Ireland's electorate want in response to a) the possible collapse of the devolved Executive and Assembly, currently not sitting amid stalemate b) the management of Brexit - opposed by a majority in Northern Ireland - and concerns over a 'hard' or 'soft' border, the Common Travel Area and replacement of part of the Good Friday Agreement c) the first-ever loss of a unionist majority, at the recent Assembly election and d) controversies over demands for Irish language and same-sex marriage legislation. The election takes place with Northern Ireland in political crisis. There is a real prospect of a return to direct rule from Westminster. The survey will be based on a representative sample of 1,100 electors from across Northern Ireland.The study will provide a comprehensive study of how the electorate voted in the 2017 General Election in Northern Ireland - and why electors voted the way they did (or declined to vote). It will analyse the basis of voting behaviour and party choice of the Northern Ireland electorate at the first General Election since the Brexit referendum and amid political crisis resulting in the hiatus in devolved government. Is ethno-religious identity still virtually all? The research will assess whether voters back the Northern Ireland Executive and Assembly and to measure support for devolved power-sharing relative to direct rule from Westminster. The study will also analyse attitudes to EU withdrawal. What does the Northern Ireland electorate want regarding a 'hard' or 'soft' border and a common travel area with the Irish Republic and how should the region - a large beneficiary of EU finance - respond to Brexit? The study will measure the extent to which, if at all, the sectarian/confessional ethno-religious divide in Northern Ireland politics is being breached by votes for candidates from the 'rival' community - and to examine the reasons for communal and cross-community voting.it will examine views on social/moral issues such as abortion rights (still virtually prohibited in Northern Ireland) and same-sex marriage (opposed by the largest party in Northern Ireland, the DUP). The survey will explore the electorate's views on a range of post-conflict issues, as truth and reconciliation commissions, support for victims, reform of the judicial system and integration of Northern Ireland, via, e.g. the removal of 'peace walls'; and 'mixed' schooling.
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DOI:
10.1111/1467-923x.13168
发表时间:
2022
期刊:
The Political Quarterly
影响因子:
--
作者:
[Tonge J]
通讯作者:
Tonge J
Power Sharing and Power Relations after Civil War
内战后的权力分享和权力关系
DOI:
--
发表时间:
2018
期刊:
影响因子:
--
作者:
[Hayes, B]
通讯作者:
Hayes, B
From the Long War to the Long Peace
从长期战争到长期和平
DOI:
--
发表时间:
2019
期刊:
Capital and Class
影响因子:
1.7
作者:
[Coulter, C]
通讯作者:
Coulter, C
The Ulster Unionist Party: Country Before Party?
阿尔斯特统一党:国家先于政党?
DOI:
--
发表时间:
2019
期刊:
影响因子:
--
作者:
[Hennessey]
通讯作者:
Hennessey
Partisan and religious drivers of moral conservatism Same-sex marriage and abortion in Northern Ireland
道德保守主义的党派和宗教驱动因素北爱尔兰的同性婚姻和堕胎
DOI:
10.1177/1354068816656665
发表时间:
2016
期刊:
Party Politics
影响因子:
2.7
作者:
[Evans J]
通讯作者:
Evans J
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负责人:Jonathan Tonge
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负责人:Jonathan Tonge
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