Prediction markets: information procurement from selfish agents in standard use cases

随着公司的发展，工作环境变得更加分散，在公司层面上管理和收集信息成为一个日益严重的问题。预测市场是在这些情况下汇总信息的一种方式。预测市场是一种信息聚合工具，人们在其中交易价值取决于未来事件结果的证券。例如，“项目A能否在12月31日前完成？”可能就是这样一种担保。如果A项目在12月31日前完成，持有“是”股票的交易者将赚1美元，否则她将一无所获。

As companies grow and work environments become more dispersed, managing and gathering information at a company level becomes a growing problem. Prediction markets are one way to aggregate information in these settings. Prediction markets are an information aggregation tool in which people trade in securities with values contingent on the outcome of a future event. For example, "Will project A be complete by the 31st of December?" could be one such security. A trader holding a "Yes" share stands to earn $1 if project A is completed by the 31st of December, otherwise she earns nothing.