CAREER: Forecasting Chemical Weather with a Coupled Meteorology-Chemistry Model System: Research and Education Challenges

该项目将加强和进一步发展现有的社区空气质量模型，以产生一个真正综合的天气化学模型，能够更好地预测大气中颗粒物（PM）的丰度和运输。P.I.最初将进一步发展气溶胶动力学、反应、电离和溶解模型（MADRID），以改善气溶胶在真实大气中的处理方式。这些改进将与现有的云化学模型相结合，并纳入NOAA的天气研究与预报（WRF）空气质量预测系统第1版（WRFAQV1）模型，随后对模型性能进行一系列评估，以期产生臭氧和PM预测的操作版本。预测空气质量（或“化学天气”）是大气科学界跨越学科界限的一个新兴研究领域，这项研究对人类暴露、健康和监管政策具有深远的影响。这项研究的更广泛的科学影响在于为改进对未来空气质量更可靠的预测所需的工具做出实质性和必要的贡献。私家侦探将把这项研究纳入一些教育和外展活动。该项目将对一所主要国立研究和教学大学的早期职业女性教员的专业发展作出重大贡献，支持两名研究生的研究培训和高等教育，并与两个工业伙伴合作提供一些夏季本科生实习机会。该教育计划还包括课程开发、学生参与研究和公众宣传的机会。

This project will enhance and further develop an existing community air quality model to produce a truly integrated weather-chemistry model capable of better forecasting the abundance and transport of particulate matter (PM) in the atmosphere. The P.I. will initially further develop the Model of Aerosol Dynamics, Reaction, Ionization and Dissolution (MADRID) to improve how aerosols are treated in a real atmosphere. These improvements will be combined with an existing cloud chemistry model and both incorporated into NOAA's Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) Air Quality prediction system version 1 (WRFAQV1) model, followed by a series of evaluations of model performance with a view to producing an operational version for ozone and PM forecasts. Forecasting air quality (or "Chemical Weather") is an emerging area of research interest crossing disciplinary boundaries within the atmospheric science community, and this research has far reaching implications for human exposure, health and regulatory policy. The broader science impacts of this study lie in making substantive and necessary contributions to improving tools required for more reliable predictions of air quality in the future. The P.I. will integrate this research into a number of education and outreach activities. The project will contribute substantively to the professional development of an early career female faculty at a major State research and teaching university, support research training and higher education of two graduate students and provide a number of summer undergraduate internships in collaboration with two industry partners. The education plan also includes opportunities for course development, student participation in research, and public outreach.