CAREER: Forecasting Chemical Weather with a Coupled Meteorology-Chemistry Model System: Research and Education Challenges

这个项目将加强和进一步发展现有的社区空气质量模式，以产生一个真正综合的天气-化学模式，能够更好地预测大气中颗粒物(PM)的丰度和运输。P.I.最初将进一步发展气溶胶动力学、反应、电离和溶解模型(马德里)，以改进在真实大气中处理气溶胶的方式。这些改进将与现有的云化学模式相结合，并将两者纳入NOAA的天气研究和预报(WRF)空气质量预测系统版本1(WRFAQV1)模式，随后将对模式性能进行一系列评估，以期产生臭氧和PM预报的业务版本。预测空气质量(或“化学天气”)是大气科学界跨学科界限的一个新兴研究领域，这项研究对人类暴露、健康和监管政策具有深远的影响。这项研究的更广泛的科学影响在于为改进未来更可靠的空气质量预测所需的工具做出了实质性和必要的贡献。P.I.将把这项研究纳入一些教育和外展活动中。该项目将为一所主要的国立研究和教学大学的早期职业女性教员的专业发展做出实质性贡献，支持两名研究生的研究培训和高等教育，并与两个行业合作伙伴合作提供一些暑期本科生实习机会。教育计划还包括课程开发、学生参与研究和公众宣传的机会。

This project will enhance and further develop an existing community air quality model to produce a truly integrated weather-chemistry model capable of better forecasting the abundance and transport of particulate matter (PM) in the atmosphere. The P.I. will initially further develop the Model of Aerosol Dynamics, Reaction, Ionization and Dissolution (MADRID) to improve how aerosols are treated in a real atmosphere. These improvements will be combined with an existing cloud chemistry model and both incorporated into NOAA's Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) Air Quality prediction system version 1 (WRFAQV1) model, followed by a series of evaluations of model performance with a view to producing an operational version for ozone and PM forecasts. Forecasting air quality (or "Chemical Weather") is an emerging area of research interest crossing disciplinary boundaries within the atmospheric science community, and this research has far reaching implications for human exposure, health and regulatory policy. The broader science impacts of this study lie in making substantive and necessary contributions to improving tools required for more reliable predictions of air quality in the future. The P.I. will integrate this research into a number of education and outreach activities. The project will contribute substantively to the professional development of an early career female faculty at a major State research and teaching university, support research training and higher education of two graduate students and provide a number of summer undergraduate internships in collaboration with two industry partners. The education plan also includes opportunities for course development, student participation in research, and public outreach.