Dynamics of Hurricane Risk Perception

飓风风险认知的动态

• 批准号: 0856227
• 负责人: Craig Trumbo
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Colorado State University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2009
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2009-09-01 至 2012-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0856227&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Dynamics; Hurricane; Risk; Perception

This study will add to our understanding of how individuals view hurricane risk and how this shapes their decisions in the face of a potential evacuation order. The study is designed to accomplish three goals. First, we will develop a detailed attitude questionnaire for hurricane risk perception. Second, we will examine how hurricane risk perception acts on hurricane evacuation. Third, we will take a close look at the information sources that people use during an approaching hurricane and evaluate how these information sources influence evacuation behavior. To accomplish these goals, we will establish a panel of about 600 individuals to be recruited from the U.S. Gulf and East Coast areas often affected by hurricanes. Over three years we will conduct several mail surveys of these panelists to understand their perception of hurricane risk. And during each hurricane season we will conduct phone interviews of the panelists who are being presented with a potential hurricane evacuation order.The results of this study will provide a wide range of benefits. We will provide important new information on how people react to hurricanes. This knowledge can then be used by many other researchers to conduct other investigations on hurricanes. The scientific results of this study will also be useful to researchers working on problems involving how people react to other natural hazards as well, such as wildfires or earthquakes. The results will also have more immediate practical benefits. An important problem involving hurricane warnings is the manner in which maps and other communications are used to inform the public. Since this project will collect information from people while they are actively using such maps and communications we will be able to provide recommendations for ways to improve these risk communication tools. We hope this study will serve to improve the way that hurricane warnings are communicated. In a broader perspective this study will also provide insight into the basic ways that coastal residents view living in hurricane prone areas. This knowledge can be of use to urban planners and disaster managers to help guide the way that our growing coastal populations are situated.

这项研究将增加我们对个人如何看待飓风风险的理解，以及这如何在面对潜在的疏散命令时影响他们的决定。这项研究旨在实现三个目标。首先，我们将制定一份详细的飓风风险感知态度问卷。其次，我们将研究飓风风险感知对飓风疏散的影响。第三，我们将仔细研究人们在接近飓风时使用的信息源，并评估这些信息源如何影响疏散行为。为了实现这些目标，我们将建立一个由大约600人组成的小组，从经常受飓风影响的美国墨西哥湾和东海岸地区招募人员。在三年内，我们将对这些小组成员进行几次邮件调查，以了解他们对飓风风险的看法。在每个飓风季节，我们都会对小组成员进行电话采访，他们会收到潜在的飓风疏散令。这项研究的结果将提供广泛的好处。我们将提供有关人们如何应对飓风的重要新信息。这些知识可以被许多其他研究人员用来对飓风进行其他调查。这项研究的科学结果也将对研究人们如何应对其他自然灾害（如野火或地震）的问题的研究人员有用。研究结果还将带来更直接的实际效益。飓风预警的一个重要问题是使用地图和其他通讯工具通知公众的方式。由于该项目将收集人们在积极使用此类地图和通信时的信息，因此我们将能够为改进这些风险通信工具的方法提供建议。我们希望这项研究将有助于改善飓风警报的传播方式。从更广泛的角度来看，这项研究还将深入了解沿海居民看待飓风易发地区生活的基本方式。这些知识可以为城市规划者和灾害管理者提供帮助，以指导我们不断增长的沿海人口的分布方式。