Judgments in judge-advisor-systems with multiple advisors

具有多个顾问的法官-顾问系统中的判决

• 批准号: 248865509
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Stefan Schulz-Hardt
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Abteilung für Wirtschafts- und Sozialpsychologie
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Grants
• 财政年份: 2014
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2013-12-31 至 2014-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/248865509?language=en
• 关键词: Judgments; judge; advisor; systems; multiple

Advice utilization is an integral part of judgment and decision making in everyday life. Whereas advice utilization in situations with one single advisor has been extensively studied, so far only very little is known about how multiple advice is integrated into individual judgments. In this research program we aim at closing this gap by specifically investigating topics that are characteristic of situations with multiple advisors. First, we want to demonstrate that differences in the presentation of multiple advice affect the outcome of the judgment process. Therefore, we compare the simultaneous presentation of multiple advice with a sequential presentation. In the next step, we present a model of decreasing advice weighting during sequential advice presentation and test the general validity of this model as well as its sensitivity for order effects. Finally, we address the question of how aggregated advice (i.e. the mean of a sample of individual advices) is weighted and used in the judgment process. Our findings should help to deepen our understanding of how advice is utilized and integrated, and it should also facilitate the development of interventions aimed at optimizing the use of multiple advice.

建议利用是日常生活中判断和决策的重要组成部分。尽管在只有一个顾问的情况下，建议的利用已经得到了广泛的研究，但到目前为止，人们对如何将多个建议整合到个人判断中所知甚少。在这个研究项目中，我们的目标是通过具体调查具有多个顾问的情况特征的主题来缩小这一差距。首先，我们想要证明多种建议的表达方式的差异会影响判断过程的结果。因此，我们将多个通知的同时表示与顺序表示进行比较。在接下来的步骤中，我们提出了一个在顺序建议呈现过程中减少建议权重的模型，并测试了该模型的一般有效性及其对顺序效应的敏感性。最后，我们解决了如何在判断过程中对汇总建议（即单个建议样本的平均值）进行加权和使用的问题。我们的研究结果应该有助于加深我们对如何利用和整合建议的理解，它还应该促进旨在优化多种建议使用的干预措施的发展。