Financing Public Pension and Labor Supply for the Aged

为老年人提供公共养老金和劳动力供应融资

• 批准号: 06301075
• 负责人: HATTA Tatsuo
• 金额: $ 0.7万
• 依托单位: Osaka University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Co-operative Research (A)
• 财政年份: 1994
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1994 至 1995
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-06301075/
• 关键词: Pension reform; Simulation; Pension fund; Aging; Labor Supply; Pension Finance; シュミレーション; 退職行動

The present study analyzes fiscal effects of the 1994 pension reform. This reform reduced pension benefits of the employees between 60 and 65 of age to encourage labor supply of this age group. New demographic data as well as the data of pension participation rate for each generation have become recently available. We constructed an inter-generational model that incorporates these new data. Main findings are as follows :First, the reform made the net pension benefit for each generation more equal than before.Second, the balance of pension fund does not turn negative even at the peak of the graying period.Third, if an excess fiscal burden of 2.8% of GDP is contributed every year, the pension fund will monotonically increased.Fourth, fiscal effects of the labor supply increase caused by the "partial pension system"were estimated.

本文分析了1994年养老金改革的财政效应。这项改革减少了60至65岁雇员的养老金福利，以鼓励这一年龄组的劳动力供应。新的人口统计数据以及每一代人的养恤金参与率数据最近已可获得。我们构建了一个代际模型，将这些新数据纳入其中。研究结果表明，改革使各代人的养老金净收益比以前更加均等;即使在老龄化高峰期，养老金余额也不会出现负值;如果每年缴纳相当于GDP的2.8%的超额财政负担，养老金将单调增加;估算了“部分养老金制“带来的劳动供给增加的财政效应。

项目成果

Noriyoshi Oguchi: ""Effect of the Pension System upon Macroeconomics-The Simulation Analysis"" Institute of Commerce Studies, Senshu University, Annals of Commerce Study. 20. 29-41 (1995)

大口典吉：“养老金制度对宏观经济的影响——模拟分析”，专修大学商业研究所，商业研究年鉴。

Yoko Kimura: ""Women and Pension"" Administrative Management Quarterly. 377. 30-39 (1994)

木村洋子：《妇女与养老金》行政管理季刊。

Tatsuo Hatta and Noriyoshi Oguchi: "The Net Pension Debt of the Japanese Government". Michael D.Hurd ed., Economics of Aging, University of Chicago Press, (1997)

Tatsuo Hatta 和 Noriyoshi Oguchi：“日本政府的养老金净债务”。

小口登良: "年金制度のマクロ経済への影響-マクロシミュレーションモデルによる分析-" 専修大学商学研究所『商学研究年報』. 20. 29-41 (1995)

大口典吉：“养老金制度对宏观经济的影响——使用宏观模拟模型的分析”，专修大学商业研究所，商业研究年报20。29-41（1995）。

Yoko Kimura: ""Employment Problem of Workers in the Early 60's and Pension Systems"19GC03 : Japan Labor Study Review" 414. 2-12 (1994)

木村洋子：“60年代初期工人的就业问题和养老金制度”19GC03：日本劳动研究评论”414. 2-12 (1994)