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Public Opinion and Britain's Relationship with Europe

舆论与英国与欧洲的关系

基本信息

批准号：
ES/N003969/1
负责人：
John Curtice
金额：
$ 51.22万
依托单位：
NatCen Social Research
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Fellowship
财政年份：
2015
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2015 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FN003969%2F1
关键词：
Public Opinion Britain Relationship Europe

项目摘要

Although they differ in their readiness to put the issue before voters, all of Britain's political parties now take the view that there should not be any significant change in the UK's relationship with the EU without the consent of voters as expressed in a referendum. As a result, no attempt to provide impartial evidence on the future of that relationship can be complete without taking public opinion into account. However, systematic impartial evidence can be difficult to ascertain both because the evidence itself is scattered across a disparate variety of sources and because protagonists in the debate prefer to promote the evidence of support for their views rather than a balanced account.This proposal is for a set of knowledge exchange activities designed to overcome these obstacles, together with some academic writing and research that will help fill some of the gaps in the relevant knowledge base. In particular, we propose, (i) the development of a website facility that brings the existing survey and polling evidence on attitudes towards Britain's relationship with Europe into one place, accompanied by independent commentary, (ii) the provision of a set of briefing papers on specific topics, supplemented by oral presentations to those with a close professional interest in the subject, and (iii) the submission of two articles to academic journals, facilitated in part by the collection of new survey data.The website facility would bring together (i) all the key readings on public attitudes to Europe provided by commercial polling companies since 2010, and (ii) the key UK data from long running major academic and governmental surveys, (iii) access to key EU-wide attitudes where these are systematically available from cross-national sources for the period since 2004. The database would contain key methodological details for each poll/question and use the latest data visualisation and graphical facilities to make the statistical material as accessible as possible. In addition the website facility would provide a regular commentary (blog) on various aspects of public attitudes towards the EU. The writing of a blog would be initiated either (i) the release of a new output by the project itself (ii) on the occasion of events and media stories to which public opinion is pertinent, or (iii) the publication of new polling/survey evidence. The commentaries would be supplied principally by the applicant but guest blogs would also be sought from those with relevant expertise. The facility would also provide a bibliography of relevant literature.The briefing papers, of which at least six would be produced, will provide an introduction to the evidence on a particular topic. Attractively designed and written in an accessible style, they would be aimed at the non-academic professional and interested lay public. Presentations based on the findings of the briefings would be made at two off the record seminars held near SW1 and aimed at policy makers with a close professional interest in the subject. One or more similar seminars will also be offered to UK government officials.The academic articles would focus on (i) the extent to which instrumental evaluations and cultural concerns interact with each other in shaping attitudes towards the EU in the UK and in so doing have helped created a social division between 'winners ' and 'losers', and (ii) the degree to which attitudes towards the EU may be contingent on party stances and on potential changes to the rules and competences of the EU. The latter of these two pieces of work in particular would be facilitated by the inclusion of a module of 20 questions on the 2015 British Social Attitudes survey, the fieldwork for which would begin shortly after the 2015 general election.This new data collection will extend one of the longest running time series on the subject as well as cover topics, such as attitudes to changing the competences of the EU, hitherto little addressed.

尽管英国各政党在将脱欧问题提交给选民的意愿上存在分歧，但它们现在都认为，如果没有选民在公投中表达的同意，英国与欧盟的关系不应该有任何重大改变。因此，不考虑到公众舆论，就这种关系的未来提供公正证据的任何努力都是不完整的。然而，系统公正的证据很难确定，因为证据本身分散在各种不同的来源中，而且辩论中的主角更喜欢促进支持他们观点的证据，而不是一个平衡的说明。本提案旨在开展一系列知识交流活动，以克服这些障碍，并进行一些学术写作和研究，以帮助填补相关知识库中的一些空白。特别是，我们建议，(i)开发一个网站设施，将现有的关于英国与欧洲关系态度的调查和投票证据汇集到一个地方，并附有独立评论，（ii）提供一套关于特定主题的简报文件，辅以对该主题有密切专业兴趣的人的口头报告，以及（iii）向学术期刊提交两篇文章。部分原因是收集了新的调查数据。该网站设施将汇集(i)自2010年以来商业民意调查公司提供的关于公众对欧洲态度的所有关键读数，（ii）英国长期运行的主要学术和政府调查的关键数据，（iii）获取自2004年以来从跨国来源系统地获得的欧盟范围内的关键态度。该数据库将载有每个民意调查/问题的关键方法细节，并使用最新的数据可视化和图形化设施，使统计材料尽可能易于获取。此外，网站设施将定期提供公众对欧盟各方面态度的评论（博客）。部落格的写作可以由以下两种方式开始：(i)专案本身发布新产出；（ii）与民意相关的事件和媒体报导；或（iii）公布新的民意调查证据。评论将主要由申请人提供，但也将从具有相关专门知识的人那里寻求客座博客。该设施还将提供有关文献的书目。将编写至少六份简报文件，其中将介绍某一专题的证据。这些书设计精美，文字通俗易懂，目标读者是非学术专业人士和感兴趣的普通大众。根据简报的调查结果，将在SW1附近举行的两次非公开讨论会上作介绍，对象是对该主题有密切专业兴趣的决策者。一个或多个类似的研讨会也将提供给英国政府官员。学术文章将关注(i)工具评估和文化关注在多大程度上相互作用，形成了英国对欧盟的态度，并因此帮助创造了“赢家”和“输家”之间的社会分裂，以及（ii）对欧盟的态度可能取决于政党立场和欧盟规则和能力的潜在变化的程度。这两项工作中的后一项特别将通过包含2015年英国社会态度调查的20个问题的模块来促进，该调查的实地调查将在2015年大选后不久开始。这一新的数据收集将延长这一主题上运行时间最长的序列之一，并涵盖迄今很少涉及的主题，如对改变欧盟权限的态度。