权益分类	功能权益	普通用户	{{item.name}}会员
{{category.name}}	{{benefitItem.name}}

Public Opinion and Public Policy in Post-Brexit Post-Pandemic Britain

疫情后英国脱欧后的舆论与公共政策

基本信息

批准号：
ES/X005798/1
负责人：
John Curtice
金额：
$ 55.52万
依托单位：
NatCen Social Research
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Fellowship
财政年份：
2022
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2022 至无数据
项目状态：
未结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FX005798%2F1
关键词：
Public Opinion Policy Post Brexit

项目摘要

Brexit is now often presented as being done and dusted. Those who voted Remain have (it is said) accommodated themselves to the outcome, neither Labour nor the Liberal Democrats are keen to revisit the issue, while the UK government is keen to exploit the 'opportunities' that being outside the EU single market and customs union affords.Yet in practice, polling and survey data suggest that voters are still evenly divided on whether the UK should be inside or outside the EU, that they are often doubtful of its consequences to date, and that they are not always supportive of proposals for divergence from the regulatory rules of the EU single market. Meanwhile, support for remaining part of the UK has fallen in both Scotland and Northern Ireland, in both of which a majority voted Remain. At the same time, thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic and its aftermath, together with the Ukraine war, Brexit is being implemented in very different circumstances from those that pertained at the time of the 2016 referendum, including an inflationary spiral, a tight labour market and a changed geo-strategic environment, a development that may influence voters' eventual judgement of Brexit.These considerations suggest that how the public view Brexit - and thus the extent to which the 2016 referendum (as currently implemented) will provide a lasting resolution of the question of the UK's relationship with the EU - should not be taken for granted. With a view to informing public debate on the subject, this project will chart and analyse trends in key public attitudes and evaluations following the implementation of Brexit, and assess how far those attitudes and evaluations may have been affected by (i) the COVID-19 pandemic and its economic aftermath, and (ii) the Ukraine war. It will examine in particular:(i) whether Brexit comes to be regarded as a success or a failure and the impact, if any, this evaluation has on levels of support for being inside or outside the EU,(ii) public attitudes towards some of the regulatory policy choices open to the UK following its exit from the EU,(iii) to what extent Brexit and associated 'culture war' issues might continue to influence party choice, and(iv) how people in Scotland evaluate the comparative consequences of being, on the one hand, part of the UK and outside the EU versus, on the other, being an independent country and part of the EU.These topics will be pursued through original survey work, the reanalysis of other relevant academic surveys, and collating and analysing relevant commercial polling data. As a fellowship of 'The UK in a Changing Europe' initiative, the project's principal audiences are policy makers, the media, and the interested public. To that end, its outputs and analysis will be made readily available via two existing websites, whatukthinks.org/eu and whatscotlandthinks.org, and a programme of public presentations/webinars, podcasts, and media engagement, underpinned by more formal academic publications.

英国退欧现在经常被描述为已经完成和尘埃落定。那些投票留欧的人(据说)已经接受了结果，工党和自由民主党都不热衷于重新讨论这个问题，而英国政府热衷于利用脱离欧盟单一市场和关税同盟提供的“机会”。但在实践中，民调和调查数据表明，选民在英国应该留在欧盟还是退出欧盟的问题上仍然存在平分秋色，他们经常对迄今的后果持怀疑态度，而且他们并不总是支持偏离欧盟单一市场监管规则的提议。与此同时，苏格兰和北爱尔兰对留在英国的支持率都有所下降，这两个地区的多数人都投票支持留在英国。与此同时，由于新冠肺炎疫情及其后果，再加上乌克兰战争，英国退欧的实施环境与2016年公投时截然不同，包括通胀螺旋式上升、劳动力市场吃紧以及地缘战略环境变化，这一事态发展可能会影响选民对英国退欧的最终判断。这些考虑表明，不应想当然地认为公众如何看待英国退欧--从而在多大程度上让2016年公投(目前实施的)在多大程度上为英国与欧盟关系的问题提供持久解决方案。为了让公众就这一主题展开辩论，该项目将绘制和分析英国退欧实施后关键公众态度和评估的趋势，并评估这些态度和评估可能在多大程度上受到(I)新冠肺炎大流行及其经济后果和(Ii)乌克兰战争的影响。它将特别考察：(I)英国退欧是否被视为成功或失败，以及这一评估对留在欧盟内或留在欧盟外的支持率的影响(如果有的话)；(Ii)公众对英国退出欧盟后面临的一些监管政策选择的态度；(Iii)英国退欧和相关的“文化战争”问题可能在多大程度上继续影响政党选择；以及(Iv)苏格兰人如何评估一方面是英国的一部分、另一方面是欧盟以外的一部分与另一方面的比较后果。作为一个独立的国家和欧盟的一部分，这些主题将通过原始调查工作、其他相关学术调查的重新分析以及相关商业民意调查数据的整理和分析来进行。作为“变化的欧洲中的英国”倡议的成员，该项目的主要受众是政策制定者、媒体和感兴趣的公众。为此目的，其产出和分析将通过两个现有网站WhatukThinkks.org/EU和WhatsktlandThinkks.org随时提供，以及一个以更正式的学术出版物为基础的公开演讲/网络研讨会、播客和媒体参与方案。