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How Does Post-Brexit Britain Wish To Exercise Its Sovereignty?

脱欧后英国希望如何行使主权？

基本信息

批准号：
ES/S007954/1
负责人：
John Curtice
金额：
$ 83.5万
依托单位：
NatCen Social Research
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Research Grant
财政年份：
2019
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2019 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FS007954%2F1
关键词：
How Does Post Brexit Britain

项目摘要

One key feature of British politics during and since the referendum has been the strength of the division between those who voted Remain and those who backed Leave. The two sides have been inclined to take different views about what the UK's post-Brexit relationship with the EU should be. Now there is a possibility that they might take different stances about the choices that the UK now has to make as it takes on responsibility for those policy areas that are currently wholly or partly decided by the EU. If this were to be the case the polarisation - and intra-party dissensus - that has been a hallmark of recent British politics could continue well beyond Brexit itself.However, using conventional survey methods to research public attitudes to post-Brexit policy choices is constrained by what to date has been a lack of public debate about the various options and trade-offs that will face policy-makers. This project will meet these constraints by using a deliberative approach to researching public attitudes, focusing on three areas of post-Brexit policy - on immigration, labour market regulation and food production and safety.In particular, we will use an approach known as Deliberative Polling. Under this approach, a random sample of participants are given access to information and expertise about the poll's subject matter and take part in facilitated group discussions about the issues at stake charts. Participants' attitudes and knowledge are measured via a self-completion questionnaire both before and after the deliberation. As a result, the approach not only identifies whether the balance of public opinion changes in the wake of the deliberation, but also why and amongst which kinds of voters. This makes it possible to identify the arguments and considerations that are likely to prove persuasive as and when voters become better informed about a subject. Using this approach, we will be able to ascertain the extent to which any prior differences of outlook between Remain and Leave voters are weakened or reinforced as a result of deliberation, and thus whether they are or are not likely to be perpetuated in future debates about public policy. At the same time, we will be able to inform policy-makers of the likely public reaction to the various policy choices that they are considering and advise the most effective way of presenting any particular policy option that they decide to pursue. Deliberative polling has so far largely been conducted face to face. In this project, however, a face to face poll held at a central UK location will be preceded by both a pilot and a full deliberative poll undertaken online using video communication. Although conducted a year apart, the structure of the deliberation in the two exercises will be similar, thereby facilitating the first ever systematic comparison of the impact of video-enhanced online and face to face deliberation.At each key stage, the project will produce briefings aimed primarily at non-academic audiences that outline its latest findings. The results of each poll will then be reported in greater depth in chapters published in the annual British Social Attitudes report and in presentations given to policy-makers. The full findings of the project will be reported in academic articles and in a book. The research will be guided throughout by an Advisory Committee of academics and policy-makers with a view to ensuring that the deliberation is balanced and secures the confidence of all stakeholders.

在公投期间和之后，英国政治的一个关键特征是留欧派和脱欧派之间的分歧很大。双方倾向于对英国脱欧后与欧盟的关系持不同看法。现在有一种可能性，他们可能会对英国现在必须做出的选择采取不同的立场，因为它承担了目前全部或部分由欧盟决定的政策领域的责任。如果是这样的话，作为近期英国政治特征的两极分化——以及党内分歧——可能会在脱欧之后继续存在。然而，使用传统的调查方法来研究公众对英国脱欧后政策选择的态度，受到迄今为止公众对政策制定者将面临的各种选择和权衡缺乏公开辩论的限制。该项目将通过采用审慎的方法研究公众态度来满足这些限制，重点关注英国脱欧后政策的三个领域——移民、劳动力市场监管和食品生产与安全。特别地，我们将使用一种称为审议投票的方法。在这种方法下，随机抽样的参与者可以获得有关民意调查主题的信息和专业知识，并参加关于利害关系图表问题的促进小组讨论。参与者的态度和知识是通过审议前后的自填问卷来衡量的。因此，该方法不仅可以确定民意平衡是否会在审议之后发生变化，还可以确定为什么会发生变化以及在哪些选民中发生变化。当选民对某一主题有了更好的了解时，就有可能确定有说服力的论点和考虑因素。使用这种方法，我们将能够确定留欧派和脱欧派选民之间先前的观点差异在多大程度上由于深思熟虑而被削弱或加强，从而确定它们是否可能在未来关于公共政策的辩论中延续下去。与此同时，我们将能够让政策制定者了解公众对他们正在考虑的各种政策选择的可能反应，并为他们决定采取的任何特定政策选择提供最有效的建议。到目前为止，审议性投票主要是面对面进行的。然而，在这个项目中，在英国中心地区举行的面对面民意调查之前，将通过视频通信进行试点和全面的在线审议性民意调查。虽然相隔一年，但两项审议的结构将相似，从而有助于首次系统地比较视频增强的在线审议和面对面审议的影响。在每个关键阶段，该项目将制作主要针对非学术受众的简报，概述其最新发现。每次民意调查的结果将在年度《英国社会态度报告》的章节中进行更深入的报道，并提交给政策制定者。该项目的全部研究结果将在学术文章和一本书中报告。这项研究将由一个由学者和政策制定者组成的咨询委员会全程指导，以确保审议是平衡的，并确保所有利益攸关方的信心。