"Exploring Spatial Dynamics of Neighborhood Migration"

描述(由申请人提供)：本提案描述了一项旨在探索非本地背景条件--实际或潜在居住地周围地区的特征--对具有不同社会经济和人口素质的社区之间迁移的影响的研究计划。居住流动性研究通常侧重于个人和家庭层面的移民决定因素，偶尔会考虑到对居住附近社区的社会人口特征的反应。很大程度上由于数据的限制和方法的复杂性，周边社区更广泛的社会和人口背景，以及这些地区住房市场定义的住宅机会结构，在这项研究中几乎没有受到关注。该项目首次将空间回归策略应用于收入动态小组研究中的个人和家庭层面的数据，并结合1970年、1980年、1990年和2000年的人口普查数据，研究住房市场状况以及邻近和周围地区的社会人口特征如何影响个人和家庭搬离当前社区的决定，以及这些非本地条件如何影响目的地社区的选择。通过这一建模战略的独特应用，该项目有望促进更全面地了解促进或阻碍邻里间移徙的背景条件，最重要的是，有助于更全面地了解在贫穷和贫困的邻里环境中形成居住种族和族裔隔离以及种族差异的更广泛模式的移徙过程。为了为未来的邻里迁移研究提供更有效的规范策略，研究将集中在非本地流动影响的地理规模、人口(包括种族和民族)和社会经济差异在这个地理影响范围内、非本地影响的功能形式，以及非本地社区的特征如何调节更传统的背景和微观层面的移民预测因素的影响。

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): This proposal describes a program of research designed to explore the impacts of extra-local contextual conditions - characteristics of areas surrounding the neighborhood of actual or potential residence - on migration between neighborhoods with varying socioeconomic and demographic qualities. Residential mobility research has typically focused on individual- and family-level determinants of migration, occasionally taking into consideration reactions to the socio-demographic characteristics of the immediate neighborhood of residence. Due largely to data limitations and methodological complexity, the broader social and demographic context of surrounding neighborhoods, and the residential opportunity structures defined by housing markets in these areas, have received almost no attention in this research. This project applies for the first time spatial regression strategies to individual- and family-level data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics merged with data from the 1970, 1980, 1990, and 2000 censuses to study how housing market conditions and socio-demographic characteristics of both immediate and surrounding areas influence individuals' and families' decision to move out of the current neighborhood and how these extra-local conditions affect the choice of a destination neighborhood. Through the unique application of this modeling strategy, this project promises to facilitate a fuller understanding of the contextual conditions that promote or impede inter-neighborhood migration and, most importantly, of the migration processes that shape broader patterns of residential racial and ethnic segregation and racial differences in exposure to poor and distressed neighborhood contexts. In order to inform the development of more effective specification strategies for the future study of inter-neighborhood migration, the research will focus on the geographic scale of extra-local mobility influences, demographic (including racial and ethnic) and socioeconomic variations in this geographic scale of influence, the functional form of extra-local effects, and the ways in which the characteristics of extra-local neighborhoods moderate the effects of more traditional contextual- and micro-level predictors of migration.