"Exploring Spatial Dynamics of Neighborhood Migration"

描述（由申请人提供）：本提案描述了一个研究项目，旨在探索本地外环境条件（实际或潜在居住地周围地区的特征）对不同社会经济和人口质量社区之间移民的影响。居住流动性研究通常侧重于个人和家庭层面的迁移决定因素，偶尔也考虑到对居住地附近的社会人口特征的反应。由于数据的限制和方法的复杂性，本研究几乎没有关注周边社区更广泛的社会和人口背景，以及这些地区住房市场定义的居住机会结构。本项目首次将空间回归策略应用于个人和家庭层面的数据，这些数据来自收入动态小组研究，并与1970年、1980年、1990年和2000年的人口普查数据相结合，以研究直接和周边地区的住房市场状况和社会人口特征如何影响个人和家庭搬离当前社区的决定，以及这些非本地条件如何影响目的地社区的选择。通过这一建模策略的独特应用，该项目有望促进对促进或阻碍社区间迁移的背景条件的更全面理解，最重要的是，对形成更广泛的居住种族和民族隔离模式的迁移过程，以及暴露于贫困和贫困社区环境中的种族差异的理解。为了为未来的社区间迁移研究提供更有效的规范策略，研究将重点关注地方外流动影响的地理尺度、人口（包括种族和民族）和社会经济变化在这种地理影响尺度上的影响、地方外效应的功能形式、以及外来社区的特征如何缓和更传统的背景和微观层面的移民预测因素的影响。

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): This proposal describes a program of research designed to explore the impacts of extra-local contextual conditions - characteristics of areas surrounding the neighborhood of actual or potential residence - on migration between neighborhoods with varying socioeconomic and demographic qualities. Residential mobility research has typically focused on individual- and family-level determinants of migration, occasionally taking into consideration reactions to the socio-demographic characteristics of the immediate neighborhood of residence. Due largely to data limitations and methodological complexity, the broader social and demographic context of surrounding neighborhoods, and the residential opportunity structures defined by housing markets in these areas, have received almost no attention in this research. This project applies for the first time spatial regression strategies to individual- and family-level data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics merged with data from the 1970, 1980, 1990, and 2000 censuses to study how housing market conditions and socio-demographic characteristics of both immediate and surrounding areas influence individuals' and families' decision to move out of the current neighborhood and how these extra-local conditions affect the choice of a destination neighborhood. Through the unique application of this modeling strategy, this project promises to facilitate a fuller understanding of the contextual conditions that promote or impede inter-neighborhood migration and, most importantly, of the migration processes that shape broader patterns of residential racial and ethnic segregation and racial differences in exposure to poor and distressed neighborhood contexts. In order to inform the development of more effective specification strategies for the future study of inter-neighborhood migration, the research will focus on the geographic scale of extra-local mobility influences, demographic (including racial and ethnic) and socioeconomic variations in this geographic scale of influence, the functional form of extra-local effects, and the ways in which the characteristics of extra-local neighborhoods moderate the effects of more traditional contextual- and micro-level predictors of migration.