World Production Potential and Costs of Japonica Rice

世界粳稻生产潜力和成本

• 批准号: 04041072
• 负责人: ITO Shoichi
• 金额: $ 13.44万
• 依托单位: Tottori University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for international Scientific Research
• 财政年份: 1992
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1992 至 1993
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-04041072/
• 关键词: Japonica rice; Marketing; Production potential; Production costs; United States of America; People's Republic of China; Europe; アジア; オーストラリア

This research was an interdisciplinary study and was conducted to investigate the current production of rice in general, japonica rice production/varieties and marketing, production costs, water resources, weather conditions and potential production of japonica rice in the world. This succeeded the one conducted for the same purpose during the 1991 fiscal year. Accordingly, the study was practically lasted for three years. Selected countries for investigation during the three years were the U.S.A., Peoples' Republic of China, Thailand, the Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore, Australia, Italy, Spain, France, and the Great Britain.Through the investigation, it was found that there were enormous amount of areas for potential japonica rice production in the world. There are many areas where indica rice is currently produced. Those areas already growing rice and situated between north (or south) latitude 30 and 45 degrees, in particular, may be suitable for japonica rice also. Areas along th … More e Chang Jiang River in China, where there are currently about 20 millions ha. of rice production, and the State of Arkansas where there are over 1 million ha. suitable for rice production are major potential regions for japonica rice. Areas out side the latitude 30 and 45 degrees such as the Thai North regions where about 2 millions ha. of rice production going on may also be suitable for japonica rice production.In fact, rice production has been gradually shifted from indica to japonica in the Chang Jiang River area. In Arkansas, a rice farmer has been successfully producing Japanese variety japonica rice during the recent years. Also, Japanese varieties are produced in some limited areas in Thai North region during the last several years. Accordingly, the limiting factors of potential increase in japonica rice production are not climatic or soil situations but economic conditions. If incomes from japonica rice production are well above indica rice production, then japonica rice production will increase in the world.Japan's emergency rice imports started in the fall, 1993 because of Japan's crop failure.Meanwhile Japan declared to partially open its rice market starting in 1995. By the year 2000, Japan would possibly be importing over 700,000 metric tons of milled rice and be one of the largest rice importers in the world. If market prices of japonica rice in the world rise due to Japanese imports, then supply for japonica rice would certainly increase. Less

这项研究是一项跨学科的研究，旨在调查世界稻米生产现状、世界稻米生产/品种及营销情况、生产成本、水资源、气候条件以及世界稻米生产潜力。这是继1991财政年度为同一目的进行的一次审查之后进行的。因此，这项研究实际上持续了三年。经过三年的考察，美国、中国、泰国、菲律宾、印度尼西亚、新加坡、澳大利亚、意大利、西班牙、法国、英国等国家和地区的水稻生产潜力巨大。目前有许多地区出产籼稻。那些已经种植水稻的地区，特别是位于北纬30度(或南纬45度)之间的地区，可能也适合种植水稻。TH…沿线地区常江河在中国境内较多，目前那里约有20万公顷。还有阿肯色州，那里有100多万公顷。适宜水稻生产的区域是我国主要的粳稻生产潜力区。北纬30度和45度以外的地区，如泰国北部地区约有200万公顷。正在进行的水稻生产的一部分也可能适合于水稻生产。事实上，在常江河区，水稻生产已经逐渐从籼稻转向糯稻。在阿肯色州，一位稻农在最近几年成功地生产出了日本品种的水稻。此外，在过去的几年里，日本品种在泰国北部地区的一些有限区域生产。因此，水稻增产潜力的限制因素不是气候或土壤条件，而是经济条件。由于日本歉收，日本从1993年秋季开始紧急进口大米，同时日本宣布从1995年开始部分开放大米市场。到2000年，日本可能进口超过70万公吨的精米，成为世界上最大的大米进口国之一。如果由于日本的进口，世界上的糯米市场价格上涨，那么对糯米的供应肯定会增加。较少

项目成果

Ito,Shoichi, Yoshinori Fujii, and Hideo Higuchi: "Quantitative Evaluation of Foreign Produced Japonica Rice" Journal of SOGO-NOGAKU. 40. 66-72 (1993)

Ito、Shoichi、Yoshinori Fujii、Hideo Higuchi：“国外生产的粳稻的定量评价”SOGO-NOGAKU 杂志。

Hideo Higuchi,Shoichi Ito,Hajime Kobayashi,Isao Yoshida: "Study on Agricultural Machinery System for Rice Production" International Agricultural Engineering Conference 1994,Bangkok. (1994)

Hideo Higuchi、Shoichi Ito、Hajime Kobayashi、Isao Yoshida：“水稻生产农业机械系统研究”国际农业工程会议 1994，曼谷。

Ito,Shoichi: "A Threat of American Produced Koshihikari to Japan" SHOKURYOU SHINKOU. 48. 4-10 (1993)

伊藤翔一：“美国生产的越光对日本的威胁”SHOKURYOU SHINKOU。

伊東正一: "日本市場を見つめる海外のジャポニカ米" 月間食糧. 4月号. (1994)

伊藤庄一：《海外粳米看日本市场》《食品月刊》4 月号（1994 年）。

Ito,Shoichi: "Falling World Rice Market Prices" SHOKURYOU SHINKOU. 45. 11-15 (1992)

伊藤翔一：“世界大米市场价格下跌”SHOKURYOU SHINKOU。