EMERGE: Multi-hazards and emergent risks in Northern Europe's remote and vulnerable regions

洪水、风暴、山体滑坡、严冬天气等天气灾害占全球自然灾害的90%，对人、基础设施和自然环境造成重大影响。在整个北欧，随着气候的变化，这些危险正变得更加普遍。随着这些灾害的发生，以及野火和干旱等其他“紧急”灾害开始影响以前没有发生过的北欧部分地区，运输环节和供应链、生态系统、农业产量和林业正受到越来越大的影响。这些影响与复原力和应对能力有内在联系，其严重性在最脆弱和最偏远的区域最为严重，包括人员、经济和社区、支持和连接它们的基础设施，以及它们生产的商品和服务。最近北欧偏远地区发生的洪水和山体滑坡与相同的天气系统有关，但我们对这些相互关联的事件的时间和影响的了解很少，这突显了更好地了解偏远地区由天气引发的自然灾害的新风险并找到新的解决方案的迫切需要。由斯特拉斯克莱德大学、冰岛气象局、挪威水资源和能源局与英国地质学会、纽卡斯尔大学和苏格兰环境保护局合作的新的专注于多种灾害的国际合作伙伴关系组成的Emerge项目将专家聚集在一起，探索天气驱动的灾害--主要是极端降雨。山体滑坡和洪水--及其在北欧偏远和脆弱地区出现的和复杂的风险。Emerge的重点是英国、挪威和冰岛，旨在将在类似气候区域工作的研究人员聚集在一起，促进合作，创造对英国及其邻近地区都有利的新的尖端科学。EMERGE的活动将解决与以下相关的关键研究问题：(1)偏远地区天气驱动的自然灾害的出现和复合风险；(2)英国、冰岛和挪威各地对这些灾害的观察、预测和监测；以及(3)区域研究优先事项和复原力建设战略。我们将通过在格拉斯哥、奥斯陆和雷克雅未克举办的一系列专家研讨会和“生活实验室”，在更广泛的传播活动的支持下，探索这些问题，这些活动将创建一个论坛，促进开放的科学合作、知识中介和信息共享，并确定需求和机会。我们的偏远社区和环境如果要成功过渡到具有气候适应性的环境，就必须经历重大变化。气候变化带来的重大挑战，再加上偏远地区自然灾害的不成比例影响，要求对社会与环境的互动采取新的国际办法，以建立一个更加公平和可持续的未来。Emerge建立的新伙伴关系将发展世界领先的研究，以产生关键的新科学知识，并支持制定解决方案，在我们一些最脆弱的地区建立气候适应能力。

Weather-driven hazards, such as floods, storms, landslides and severe winter weather, account for 90% of the world's natural disasters, causing significant impacts to people, infrastructure and natural environments. Across Northern Europe, these hazards are becoming more pervasive in a changing climate. As they do, and as other 'emergent' hazards, such as wildfires and droughts, start to affect parts of Northern Europe where they have not before, transport links and supply chains, ecosystems, agricultural yields and forestry are increasingly being impacted. These impacts are intrinsically linked to resilience and coping capacities, with their severity greatest in the most vulnerable and remote regions, including people, economies and communities, the infrastructure that supports and connects them, and the goods and services they produce. Recent floods and landslides in remote regions across Northern Europe have been related to the same weather systems, however our understanding of the timing and impacts from these interconnected events is poorly understood, highlighting a critical need to better understand, and find novel solutions to, the emerging risks of weather-driven natural hazards in remote regions.The EMERGE project, formed by a new multi-hazard focused international partnership between the University of Strathclyde, the Icelandic Meteorological Office, and the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate, in collaboration with British Geological Society, Newcastle University, and the Scottish Environment Protection Agency, brings together experts to explore weather-driven hazards - primarily extreme rainfall, landslides and floods - and their emergent and compounding risks across Northern Europe's remote and vulnerable regions. EMERGE has a focus of the UK, Norway and Iceland, aimed at bringing together researchers that work in similar climatic zones to foster collaboration and create novel, cutting-edge science that is beneficial to both the UK and its near neighbours.EMERGE's activities will address critical research questions relating to: (1) the emergence and compounding risks of weather-driven natural hazards in remote regions; (2) the observation, prediction and monitoring of these hazards across the UK, Iceland and Norway; and (3) regional research priorities and resilience-building strategies. These will be explored through a series of expert workshops and 'living labs' in Glasgow, Oslo and Reykjavik, supported by wider dissemination activities, that will create a forum that fosters open scientific collaboration, knowledge brokering and information sharing, and identifies needs and opportunities.Our remote communities and environments must undergo significant change if they are to successfully transition to being climate resilient. The grand challenge presented by climate change, combined with the disproportionate impacts of natural hazards in remote regions, demands a new international approach to society's interaction with the environment in order to build a more equitable and sustainable future. The new partnerships formed by EMERGE will develop world-leading research to produce critical new scientific knowledge and support the development of solutions that build climate resilience in some of our most vulnerable regions.