Large-scale CoPe: Coastal Hazards, Equity, Economic prosperity, and Resilience (CHEER)

大规模 CoPe：沿海灾害、公平、经济繁荣和复原力 (CHEER)

• 批准号: 2209190
• 负责人: Rachel Davidson
• 金额: $ 1624.01万
• 依托单位: University of Delaware
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Cooperative Agreement
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2022-09-01 至 2027-08-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2209190&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Large; scale; CoPe; Coastal; Hazards

Community resilience remains challenging to achieve in practice in part due to constraints imposed by the parallel, and sometimes competing, objectives of equity and economic prosperity, particularly in the context of climate change. To address this challenge, the Hub research goals are to: (1) Identify, explain, and quantify interactions and tradeoffs among the coastal community goals of equity, economic prosperity, and resilience to hazards; (2) Develop methods to model long-term hurricane hazards that account for climate change and integrate multiple hazards—wind, rain, storm surge, waves; and (3) Develop a computational framework to design and evaluate policy interventions that can achieve sustainable equity, economic prosperity, and coastal resilience in the context of climate change. The new dynamic and spatial computational framework will consist of seven interacting modules describing the interactive decision-making of three stakeholder types--(1) households, (2) insurers, and (3) three levels of government; and the natural, built, and economic environments in which those decisions are made—(4) hazards, (5) damage/loss, (6) buildings, and (7) economy. The framework results will include: (a) recommended government policies designed with an awareness of how insurers and households are likely to respond; (b) outcomes for each stakeholder type including uncertainty and heterogeneity within them; and (c) based on those stakeholder-specific outcomes, assessments of community equity, economic prosperity, and resilience over time. Hub research will focus on three case study areas—Eastern North Carolina; Port Arthur, TX; and Houston, TX. The computational framework will serve as the basis of a decision support tool, which will propel implementation of coastal resilience forward by addressing impediments that interactions with equity, economic prosperity, and climate change create, and capitalizing on the opportunities they present. Close collaboration with practitioner and community partners will ensure the decision tool is useful to practitioners and advances the interests of communities. Just as the regional loss modeling framework provided a structure that has guided research for decades, the Hub’s framework can facilitate future interdisciplinary research that makes loss modeling dynamic and includes a rich representation of decision-making embedded in the relevant social and economic context. More specific disciplinary advances include understanding how wind, rain, inland and coastal flooding hazards dynamically interact, including potential impacts under future climate scenarios; developing an automated, scalable method for creating a high resolution, detailed inventory of residential buildings; enhancing understanding of hurricanes’ effects on regional economies’ evolution; modeling interactions among levels of government; operationalizing multiple concepts of equity and their implications; and expanding understanding of renters’ and mobile home residents’ experiences with risk and risk management. The Hub will implement a comprehensive, research-based mentoring program, including quick response fieldwork training, and will broaden participation of students through partnerships with the McNair Scholars Program and Bill Anderson Fund, national organizations supporting graduate students from underrepresented groups. The Hub will engage other researchers and the public through development of discipline primers and DRC IT! modules; workshops within the case study communities; and the HurriCon II conference. Partnerships with SimCenter, DesignSafe-CI, and the Disaster Research Center will help ensure sustainability.This project is jointly funded by the Coastlines & People (CoPe) program and the Established Program to Stimulate Competitive Research (EPSCoR).This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

在实践中，社区的韧性仍然受到挑战，部分原因是公平和经济繁荣的平行，有时甚至是竞争的目标，尤其是在气候变化的背景下。为了应对这一挑战，枢纽研究目标是：（1）在公平，经济繁荣和对危害的抗弹心的目标之间确定，解释和量化互动和权衡； （2）开发方法来建模长期飓风危害，以解释气候变化并综合多种危害（风，雨，风暴潮，海浪； （3）开发一个计算框架来设计和评估在气候变化背景下可以实现可持续公平，经济繁荣和沿海韧性的政策干预措施。新的动态和空间计算框架将由七个相互作用的模块组成，描述了三种利益相关者类型的互动决策 - （1）家庭，（2）保证，以及（3）三个级别的政府；以及做出这些决定的自然，建筑和经济环境 - （4）危害，（5）损害/损失，（6）建筑物和（7）经济。框架结果将包括：（a）建议的政府政策，以意识到确保和家庭的响应方式； （b）每种利益相关者类型的结果，包括内在的不确定性和异质性； （c）基于特定于利益相关者的成果，随着时间的推移评估社区公平，经济繁荣和韧性。枢纽研究将重点放在北卡罗来纳州的三个案例研究区域；德克萨斯州亚瑟港；和德克萨斯州休斯顿。计算框架将作为决策支持工具的基础，该工具将通过解决与公平，经济繁荣和气候变化创造的互动并利用其提供的机会来推动沿海弹性前进的实施。与从业者和社区合作伙伴的密切合作将确保该决策工具对从业者有用，并提高社区的利益。正如区域损失建模框架提供了几十年来指导研究的结构一样，枢纽的框架可以促进未来的跨学科研究，从而使损失建模动态，并包括对相关社会和经济环境中嵌入的决策的丰富代表。更具体的纪律发展包括了解风，雨，内陆和沿海洪水危害如何动态相互作用，包括未来气候情况下的潜在影响；开发一种可自动化的可扩展方法，以创建高分辨率，详细的居民建筑物清单；增强对飓风对区域经济进化的影响的理解；建模政府水平之间的互动；操作公平及其含义的多种概念；并扩大对租金和移动房屋居民风险和风险管理的经验的了解。该枢纽将实施一项基于研究的全面心理计划，包括快速响应现场工作培训，并通过与麦克奈尔学者计划和比尔·安德森基金会（Bill Anderson Fund）的合作伙伴关系来扩大学生的参与，国家组织为来自代表性不足的研究生提供支持。枢纽将通过开发纪律引物和DRC来吸引其他研究人员和公众！模块；案例研究社区的讲习班；和Hurricon II会议。 Partnerships with SimCenter, DesignSafe-CI, and the Disaster Research Center will help ensure sustainability.This project is jointly funded by the Coastlines & People (CoPe) program and the Established Program to Stimulate Competitive Research (EPSCoR).This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed precious of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.